No They Won't
The Success and Failure of The iPhone
2007-06-04

Almost nobody has seen or used an iPhone, and so the press is having a very hard time covering it. What coverage there is comes from two forces camped on opposite sides of the only known geographical feature called One Percent Of The Mobile Market Hill. The Yes They Will camp says they will have 1% or more of the mobile market by the end of 2008 and so be Successful and the No They Won't camp says they will not and will have Failed. Roughly Drafted chimes in too.
I'm betting that they will. But I think the real surprise will be the number of people seen carrying an iPhone in countries in which it isn't sold and doesn't work.
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